If you owe the bank $100 that’s your problem. If you owe the bank $100 million, that’s the bank’s problem.
- Jean Paul Getty
Yesterday, Maxavision pointed me to a simple, yet brilliant idea, that the folks at Occupy Wall street are into now. It’s called Rolling Jubilee and it’s awesome.
Here is the git of it; as you know, we’ve been dragged into this so called ‘financial crisis’, because the Banks were selling and repackaging debts. Then selling these debts to each other and taking out insurances on the debts. Now I don’t need to go into this to deep, you can find how the derivatives markets work elsewhere, all you need to know is that banks trade debts to each other under the price of the actual debt.
So you can buy a mortgage of say 100.000 dollar for only 20.000 dollar, as you also buy the risk of not getting the money back from the original debtor. These debts are actually available on the free market. So some people from the metamovement came together and thought, why don’t we start buying up those debts and then proclaim them void. In essence freeing up 80.000 dollars!
Let that sink in for a few seconds.
And now check this: The going rate for debt is 1:20, which means that $50.000 will buy you a whopping $1.000.000 worth of debt. Katching!
They started to buy college debts (probably one of the next bubbles) and proclaimed then null and void, freeing debtors across the united states, for far less then the actual debts.
There is a catch. There always is.
As the debts are so entwined and packaged by the Banks, it’s next to impossible to know whose debts you are actually buying. So you might be freeing a debtor who really doesn’t need it, and leave the more tragic cases untouched. Still, with the vast hordes of the internet, it should become possible to sift trough the records and start finding one’s own debt, buying it at banking prices and then proclaim them null and void.
through Nation of Change
Posted: November 29th, 2012
, nation of change
, new world order
, rolling jubilee
, strike debt
Comments: No Comments
But the children of the future had learnt the arts, Immunity of mind, body, spirit and hearts, They kept on evolving ’til they the reached the stage, When the children of the future finally came of age. For death had taught them what life was worth, And had prepared them for the task of leaving planet earth. Then a starship came from deep within outer space, And took the children of the future to join the cosmic race. - Apollo 440, Children of the future
As some of you may have gathered it has finally come to this; I’m going to be a father now. I’m not planning to bore you all with sappy thoughts on fatherhood and sound-echo-images of the child; but I have been thinking about the world and especially the future that my daughter will be entering.
Is this thing on ?
Believe it or not, I’ve been thinking long and hard about this post. Even asked a lot of people their thoughts on the subject, and found that the future is always in motion. The question I’m proposing here is simple. What kind of world will my daughter grow old in. What will be the current state of affairs somewhere near 2112 ? And of course this all was written to have a good laugh somewhere near 2040.
Before thinking about the future, one has to think about the past first, so I compiled a little list of technology that has been invented the last 100 years:
1900 - Flight, vacuum cleaner
1910 - Radio tuner, Motion Picture
1920 – TV, Penicillin, Jazz
1930 – Radio telescope, Tape recorder, Jet engine
1940 - Color Tv, Computer, LSD, A-Bomb, ( hypertext ), Microwave
1950 - Videotape, Credit Card, H-bomb, Pill, Synthesizer, Solar Cell, Optic fiber, fortran, modem, laser, microchip
1960 - Moon Landing, audio cassette, practical computing ( like the game spacewar, the Basic programming language, the Computer Mouse, RAM, arpanet and the barcode), Compact Disk prototype
1970 - floppy disk, LCD, microprocessor, VCR, pong, ethernet, MRI, cell phone
1980 - home computer, CD-ROM, mobile phones, doppler Radar, HDTV
1990 – WWW/HTML, Java, Human Genome sequenced
2000 -the Social Web, lab-on-a-chip
2010 - Interactive Television, Mobile Computing, Emergent Nanotechnology
Keep in mind that the development of technology is actually accelerating, which means that we will be making the same technological process of the past 100 years, in the next 50 years, and again in the next 25 years and so on. Here is a graph showing how that works for computing power:
So the next 40 years will be relatively easy to predict technologically, as the basis of these technologies are already here.
The single most important development in the next 30 or so years, is a technology that is already emerging and is called 3D-printing. The significance of being able to print anything, everywhere can hardly be over-estimated. Especially considering that the printing of human tissue like meat and bone is just around the next step (also being experimented with, with great success).
2020 - 3d printing, The Web of things ( also called 3.0) , self-driving cars, quantum computing
2030 - AI reaches human levels ( Robots do everyday tasks ), Mind/Machine interfaces, Holographic television, vat-grown meat is becoming commonplace
2040 – Nanotechology becomes widespread, (human) tissue regeneration, lucrative mining missions to nearby asteroids, Y2K38-Bug
2050 - Cultural Boiling point, Singularity, Significant lengthening of life expectancy
And this is where things get difficult, we will probably reach what some call ‘the singularity‘ in 2045, incidentally, by that time my daughter will be the same age as I am now.
You can follow the links and read up on what that means, but in short there is a fair estimate that humans will no longer be the smartest things on the planet. Computers and artificial intelligence will outsmart us by far, as a $1000 dollar computer will have the processing power of all human minds combined. Nobody exactly knows what this means, but we will be able to process and generate more information in seconds, than we have generated and processed in the 5000 years before. This too is a logarithmic scale.
After that, what happens is anybodies guess, but for the purpose of this article, I’ll assume that we just go on living and are able to keep on to an ever accelerating pace of technological advancement.
Now there are three ‘black swans‘ in the coming years, actually there are many more, but the problem with black swan events is that they are hard to predict. So here goes:
Faster then Light Travel
We currently assume that the fastest way that anything can travel anywhere is at the speed of light. This means that reaching the nearest star ( Alpha Proxima Centauri, 4.22 LY) or at least the nearest star of which we know has a planet ( Gliese 581, 22 LY ) takes at least 4 and 22 years. As we are unable to actually reach the speed of light the duration of a trip to any of these stars would take hundreds or even thousands of years on known propulsion methods. Even if we perfected our most promising propulsion methods, like solar sails and nuclear fission, we would at best reach something like 10% of speed of light. Proxima Centauri would still be 40 years away at that speed, and Gliese 581 would still take well over 200 years to reach.
There is however a rather serious proposal of sorts called the Alcubierre Drive ( basically a Warp engine from Star Trek ) and a more exotic theory proposed by a German fellow named Heim Theory, explaining how space-time might be expanded and contracted to actually build an Alcubierre Drive using massive magnetic forces.
Now if somewhere, someone comes up with a workable theory or prototype to reach faster-then-light speeds, within the coming decades, that would mean all bets are off instantly. If distances of say 10 lightyears could be travelled in months rather then decades, we would be able to visit nearby stars and explore and colonize our own solar system with ease. Hell, at those speeds we could travel across the milky way within 1000 years!
In this article however I’m assuming that we do not come up with a workable solution for the FTL problem, and base all forecast involving space travel, on the axiom that we only perfect existing means of space travel (ie. solar sail, nuclear propulsion etc.)
Understanding of Gravity
It’s almost incredible when you think of it, but science can’t make heads or tail of this crazy little thing called Gravity. Yes, we know that mass generates gravity, and since Einstein we know that this is probably caused because (large) mass disturbs space-time. And that is about it.
We know what it does ( keeps planets in orbits, pulls us towards earth etc. ) but we have no clue as for how and why. If somebody somewhere was to postulate a coherent theory for gravity, allowing us to manipulate and generate gravity we can start building flying cars, faster-then-light engines ( see the prior paragraph ) and start generating almost infinite amounts of energy.
This is actually a no-brainer, but alien contact, like an epidemic or a world-war would alter our flow of technology. Even if the aliens were just far away and we only got a glimpse of them, we’d probably start making rockets real fast. If they were to visit us however, we find ourselves making weapons on a massive scale, real fast. Finally if they are just here, to run a galactic super highway right through our planet… well, we would be fucked.
To finish it of, alien contact, like all black swans in the list, could have happened yesterday and throw of every reasonable prediction of future technology. If no black swan occurs, these predictions might carry out in a reasonable fashion. It was quote doable for Jules Verne to predict a moon landing and a sub-marine. The internet and the rise of the information age was also quite predictable in the late 19th century. As were flight and the automobile.
The only problem is that although the concept of future technology may be right, the actual implementation and utility is usually way of. Leaving the people in the future to have a good laugh at your expense.
The book reader of the future - April, 1935 issue of Everyday Science and Mechanics)
So for the remaining 70 years I’ve tried to incorporate some black swan-events on the list, extrapolated other technological trends that seem reasonable for the late 21st century.
2060 - (Commercial) Space exploitation takes of, Permanent Human presence on the Moon, Mannend mission to Mars, Man/Machine merger. Completely customized designer babies for the rich. Teleportation of molecules.
2070 - laser powered nuclear fusion, Unmanned probes to Sedna and the Kuiper belt, Replicators become common.
2080 - Picotechnology leaves the prototyping phase, Antartica becomes habitable, break-troughs in our understanding of Gravity
2090 - Manned missions to the Jovian system, Teleportation or larger objects leaves the prototyping phase
2100 - Manned mission to Saturn, Contact with an alien civilization
2110 – Invention of an FTL drive, moving into a type I civilization
Note that I’m focussing solely on technological advancements. I especially left any social, political, environmental and demographic influence out of the list, as they tend to over-complicate matters and are harder to predict with any accuracy.
A final thought
So, what kind of world will my little girl finally grow old in ? Chances are it will be a cleaner and more healthy world. There is a fair chance that limbs and other body parts can be grown back and that most common diseases are treatable. Also the life expectancy will probably be much higher.
We have left the days of the information age well behind us, the web and screens will feel the seem way old radio’s and photographs feel to us now. Computers are as inspirational and fun to be around as regular people, and I wouldn’t be surprised if we had implemented some form of equality act for robots and other intelligence, artificial or otherwise.
In this new age of abundance of information, instantaneous experiences through virtualisation and communication, our last real effort is exploration of the stars.
Unless we all go out blast to bits by an anti-matter bomb or sucked in to a rogue black hole.
"I never worry about the future. It comes soon enough." - Einstein
This entire post was an elaborate scam to post pictures of my adorable daughter, but you knew that, right ?
Posted: September 3rd, 2012
Comments: No Comments
“first they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win.”
“And furthermore, I think The Financial System should be destroyed”
- free after Cato the Elder
As I still am a professional VJ I used my gig at Korsakoff, last VJ cafe as an chance to present my new set ‘#occupy Chaos’, of which I will dump some Livemixes on Youtube (or somewhere … ). Still need to figure out some music, I’m thinking about ‘fight the power’ or ‘get up stand up’, still not sure.
But I must admit that I’ve never received so many hugs, ‘boxes’ and handshakes then I did when I premiered that set last tuesday.
Meanwhile the ‘metamovement‘ is gathering some serious pace the last days, and it looks like important parts of the world are joining the occupation this Saturday (15 okt). Will this finally amount to anything? I don’t know, but we need to try. Now. Get over to http://www.occupytogether.org/ for more info and of course the inevitable http://www.occupyamsterdam.nl/
Note to self; need to update the homepage too. Need to get moar out there…
The old man spoke out about OccupyBoston, his home town
Moar on this on the interwubs:
Be sure to check the 4 part edition of “MELTDOWN” at AlJazeera at http://english.aljazeera.net/programmes/meltdown/
And Russia Today has an exellent coverage over at http://rt.com/search/?q=occupy&filter=all
Posted: October 13th, 2011
Tags: cato the elder
, naom chomsky
, occypy amsterdam
, occypy wallst
, ocupy chaos
Comments: No Comments
“Our test is crisis, and observation. And yet, hope clouds observation”
- Bene Gesserit Revered Mother Gaius Helen Mohiam of the in Dune
I’ve been spending some weeks on a pebble beach in Croatia, sipping Karlovacko and watching the Griffon Vultures circle the cliffs of the isle of Cres.
The birds are out
And I’ve been reading “the Economist” and doing some sorting in my head. This crisis that the media seem to can’t shut up about has actually run it’s course already. It has been coming for decades and yet everybody plays surprised. It’s pathetic. This is the utter and complete meltdown of the monetary system as we know it. The last time this happened was after the second world war, and there was America to buy us out with their steel-dollars and oil-economy. Like the Visigoths in Rome the Americans did this just to get on the good turf of the powers-tha0 be. In 1945 those powers were mainly the ancient European Aristocracy. Today, the only power left to still be able to pull something like a Marshall plan off would be China, but the “land of the middle” couldn’t care less about fancy titles and diners with the queen of England.
Ridding the world of this greed-driven-capitalism doesn’t sound nearly as bad as some would have you believe. If it wasn’t for the blabbermouths of corporate media, predicting Armageddon every chance they get. Bank runs, riots, power outages, survival kits, all these things are thrown in your face by television and news papers to convince you that a catastrophe is looming. Lets try and look beyond those grimm tales of doom.
We have so much stuff right now that we practically shit ipods. People that throw out their wardrobe every season are actually quite common. We are used to two vacations a year, and live in houses that are 40% overpriced (not in the USA anymore of course, but still). In short, we’ve spent about 7 times the total worth of this planet, and are thus indebted the Earth 6 times over. Anybody still surprised over a financial meltdown can stand in a corner trying to get their head out of their ass.
We can do with a whole lot less, and still have happy, full lives with quality tv-shows; internet discussions, lolcats, education, playing children, electricity and lazing around in parks on our days off. Hell, as I argued earlier, over 60% of us do not need to work to keep all those things running that are actually worth a damn. We are sitting here on the most fertile lands in the world and are able to optimize that soil with technology beyond measure. We can even eat meat once or twice a week. Building a stress-free society of abundance for everyone is actually the easy part.
So what about those riots?
Ow yes. It will start with a bank run. And then another bank run. And then yet another. As a matter of fact; Big Corperation (Siemens in this case) pulled out 500 million euros from French banks the other day (google search, first article). Rest assured that when the media picks up a story like this, it is probably happening for weeks if not months. Then finally the people will get wind of it and start taking money out of the bank themselves (or at least those who still can). Banks will fail, and there is no more money to bail them out, next states will fail and finally the whole system grinds to a halt. Panic. Riots. Looting. Violence. Hate. Death.
Or at least in our major metropolitan areas, and even there on a rather small scale. Then things will calm down. And we will have to sit down together and figure a way out. Rebuilding our infrastructures, getting our energy supplies up and running and reclaiming farmland…
Which is all nice and dandy If it wasn’t for Naomi Kleins compelling argument for the shock doctrine.
“In THE SHOCK DOCTRINE, Naomi Klein explodes the myth that the global free market triumphed democratically. Exposing the thinking, the money trail and the puppet strings behind the world-changing crises and wars of the last four decades, The Shock Doctrine is the gripping story of how America’s “free market” policies have come to dominate the world– through the exploitation of disaster-shocked people and countries.”(source)
Klein argues that most of the crises we see in our world are actually carefully manufactured to push legislation and control by government and corporations. The most compelling example is of course the ‘Patriot Act’, pushed through in the aftermath of 9/11.
The question now is this: is this whole financial meltdown actually manufactured? A construct to push through even more legislation, further watering down out our personal freedom, privacy and whatnot. If it is, what is actually being doctored then?
If (and that is a big if by the way) 9/11 was used as a pretense to move into oil-rich deserts in the Middle East, what possible actions will be legislated through a financial collapse? A way to move into the Arctic in a quest for gas? Destroying Canada’s forests in a quest for oil rich tar-sands? RFID-Chipping all citizens in the west?
Or is this crises real, and have the powers-that-be finally overplayed their hands and will they finally get exposed for the fraudulent criminal and corrupt bunch that they are.
There is a simple way out of this you know. Pay your debt. Stop watching commercials, get to know your neighbours, share with your friends what you don’t need and stop being so fucking afraid all the time.
I will leave you now with some wise words from Mussolini, who was not nearly as mad as the guy leading Italy now.
“Fascism should more appropriately be called Corporatism because it is a merger of state and corporate power. “
- Benito Mussolini
Have a happy meltdown.
Posted: September 21st, 2011
, corperate control
, naomi klein
, shock doctrine
Comments: 1 Comment
The only verdict is vengeance; a vendetta,
held as a votive, not in vain,
for the value and veracity of such shall one day vindicate the vigilant and the virtuous.
- V in V for Vendetta
And so it came about that the internetz went to War with the rest of the world, and governments and corperation got a serious hadeache while teens and script-kiddies bombarded their servers and molested their homepages.
And then this may be a bit childish, but it is out there nonetheless.
What to do then? — well, you can go down to Sourceforge and download something called an “Low Orbit Ion Cannon” (when Nukes fail). Or go down on IRC and see the kids play; irc.annonops.net, #wikileaks and #operationpayback. Spread the word, read the cables, pubish.
Also, you might want to give my new tooly a spin; easy web based hammering of services, and monitoring if the current targets are still up. Wait? Wut?
Operation Avenge Assange Monitor
Now this isn’t fully functional yet, and especially the web based version needs to use a terribly slow proxy of my own design; but when downloading the .exe, and using it stand alone works just fine. And no, I didn’t pack it with a nasty virus or a terrible trojan to f*ck your system. … yet.
So get out of here and try the Operation Payback Monitor
#UPDATE 12/14/2010 through overwhelming succes, and the fact that I actually DDoSsed myself by accident, the page has been taken offline. Operation Payback is over for now. Gentlemen, silence your weapons.
Posted: December 9th, 2010
, avenge Assange
, Operation Payback
, paypal api
, post finance
, sarah palin
Comments: 1 Comment